PropAvix // Models

The number behind
the call.

PropAvix runs two CS2 models: Player Props Model V1 for Maps 1–2 Kills calls, and Moneylines Model V1.1 for Match Winner picks.

Model call

Demo

Line

31.5

PropAvix

35.0

Edge

+3.5

OVER ↑

Active CS2 model

PropAvix Model V1

Current supported market

Maps 1–2 Kills

Active

How a call is created

A clear path from performance to call.

PropAvix handles the analysis behind the scenes and surfaces the output that matters.

01

VERIFIED HISTORY

Exact player mapping with 3–20 eligible BO3 series

02

HISTORICAL MEDIAN

Median Maps 1–2 kills becomes the projection

03

PRIZEPICKS LINE

Current Maps 1–2 kills line

04

MODEL EDGE

Projection minus the PrizePicks line

05

MODEL CALL

OVER / UNDER at ±1.5; otherwise PASS

Model call

Demo

Player

Player Alpha

CS2 · Maps 1–2 Kills

Line

31.5

PropAvix

35.0

Edge

+3.5

OVER ↑

Model V1 context

What sits behind the call.

Model V1 uses the median Maps 1–2 kills total from an exact verified player's eligible BO3 history.

Model

PropAvix Model V1

Projection Method

Historical median

Required History

Minimum 3 series

History Window

Maximum 20 series

Series Format

Verified BO3

Player Matching

Exact verified mapping

Model V1 does not use opponent or H2H adjustments and does not assign a confidence score.

OVER

Projection minus the PrizePicks line is +1.5 kills or greater.

UNDER

Projection minus the PrizePicks line is -1.5 kills or lower.

PASS

The model does not find at least 1.5 kills of edge in either direction.

Moneylines model

PropAvix Moneylines Model V1.1

A separate model from Player Props Model V1. Moneylines V1.1 evaluates verified CS2 match history to select a Match Winner pick — no market prices involved.

01

VERIFIED MATCH HISTORY

Confirmed CS2 series results only

02

FORMAT-SPECIFIC RESULTS

BO1, BO3, and BO5 evaluated separately

03

OPPONENT-ADJUSTED RATINGS

Elo-style ratings account for opponent strength

04

RECENCY WEIGHTING

Recent matches have greater influence

05

MATCH WINNER PICK

The stronger rating becomes the pick

Rating method

Chronological Elo-style opponent adjustment

Recency

Recent matches weighted higher

Format lanes

BO1 / BO3 / BO5 evaluated separately

Minimum history

Sufficient verified history required

Market prices

Do not determine the pick

Output

Match Winner pick + direct Polymarket link

Moneylines Model V1.1 is separate from Player Props Model V1. Each model uses different inputs and produces different outputs.

Future models

More esports, when they are ready.

Valorant Coming later
League of Legends Coming later
Dota 2 Coming later

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See the model in action.

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